Eric Pacuit

Logical and Probabilistic Models of Belief Change

PHIL 858K, Spring 2016

Reasoning about the knowledge and beliefs of a single agent or group of agents is an interdisciplinary concern spanning computer science, game theory, philosophy, linguistics and statistics. Inspired, in part, by issues in these different 'application' areas, many different notions of knowledge and belief have been identified and analyzed in the formal epistemology literature. The main challenge is not to argue that one particular account of belief or knowledge is primary, but, rather, to explore the logical space of definitions and identify interesting relationships between the different notions. A second challenge (especially for students) is to keep track of the many different formal frameworks used in this broad literature. This course will introduce students to key methodological, conceptual and technical issues that arise when designing a formalism to make precise intuitions about the beliefs of a group of agents, and how these beliefs may change over time.

There are two central questions that I will address is this course:

  1. What is the precise relationship between the different formalisms describing an agent's beliefs (e.g., what is the relationship between an agent's graded beliefs and full beliefs?); and
  2. How should an agent change her beliefs in response to new evidence?

This course is a graduate seminar.